Championship · Tue 27 Oct · 17:30 UTC
Middlesbrough v Sunderland
Final prediction
Middlesbrough win
39% confidence · likely score 1-1
39%
Middlesbrough
28%
Draw
33%
Sunderland
Kicks off at 17:30 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40% · Under
- Both teams to score
- 46% · No
- Expected goals
- 1.21 – 1.07
Most likely scorelines
- 1-113.2%
- 1-012.3%
- 0-111.0%
- 0-010.2%
- 2-18.0%
- 2-07.4%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Middlesbrough1.00 / 0.98LLLWL
Sunderland1.05 / 0.90DDLLL
Why this prediction
- Middlesbrough attack index 1.00 meets Sunderland defence index 0.90 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.21 expected goals.
- Sunderland attack index 1.05 meets Middlesbrough defence index 0.98: 1.07 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Middlesbrough.
- Form over the last five: Middlesbrough 3 points, Sunderland 2 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.