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Premier League · Tue 27 Oct · 20:45 UTC

Tottenham v Liverpool

Final prediction

Liverpool win

40% confidence · likely score 1-1

36%

Tottenham

25%

Draw

40%

Liverpool

Kicks off at 20:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
56% · Over
Both teams to score
59% · Yes
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.51

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-111.4%
  • 1-28.6%
  • 2-18.1%
  • 0-18.0%
  • 1-07.5%
  • 2-26.2%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Tottenham1.18 / 1.05DWWLW Liverpool1.38 / 0.80LDDLL

Why this prediction

  • Tottenham attack index 1.18 meets Liverpool defence index 0.80 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.43 expected goals.
  • Liverpool attack index 1.38 meets Tottenham defence index 1.05: 1.51 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Tottenham.
  • Form over the last five: Tottenham 10 points, Liverpool 2 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 56% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.