La Liga · Tue 27 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Sevilla v Atlético Madrid
Final prediction
Atlético Madrid win
44% confidence · likely score 0-1
27%
Sevilla
29%
Draw
44%
Atlético Madrid
Kicks off at 18:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.
Other markets
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37% · Under
- Both teams to score
- 43% · No
- Expected goals
- 0.90 – 1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0-114.5%
- 1-113.1%
- 0-011.5%
- 1-010.4%
- 0-29.1%
- 1-28.2%
Team profile
TeamAtk / DefLast 5
Sevilla0.92 / 1.00LLLWD
Atlético Madrid1.10 / 0.72WWLLD
Why this prediction
- Sevilla attack index 0.92 meets Atlético Madrid defence index 0.72 (higher means more goals conceded): 0.90 expected goals.
- Atlético Madrid attack index 1.10 meets Sevilla defence index 1.00: 1.25 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Sevilla.
- Form over the last five: Sevilla 4 points, Atlético Madrid 7 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
- The simulation gives 37% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.