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Serie A · Tue 27 Oct · 18:45 UTC

AC Milan v Lazio

Final prediction

AC Milan win

49% confidence · likely score 1-1

49%

AC Milan

25%

Draw

26%

Lazio

Kicks off at 18:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
50% · Under
Both teams to score
52% · Yes
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.08

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-111.9%
  • 1-011.1%
  • 2-19.4%
  • 2-08.8%
  • 0-17.5%
  • 0-07.0%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 AC Milan1.12 / 0.88WLWLW Lazio1.02 / 0.95WLWDW

Why this prediction

  • AC Milan attack index 1.12 meets Lazio defence index 0.95 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.58 expected goals.
  • Lazio attack index 1.02 meets AC Milan defence index 0.88: 1.08 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for AC Milan.
  • Form over the last five: AC Milan 9 points, Lazio 10 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 50% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.