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Serie A · Tue 27 Oct · 20:45 UTC

Napoli v Roma

Final prediction

Napoli win

55% confidence · likely score 1-0

55%

Napoli

25%

Draw

20%

Roma

Kicks off at 20:45 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
44% · Under
Both teams to score
46% · No
Expected goals
1.61 – 0.85

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-013.8%
  • 1-111.7%
  • 2-011.0%
  • 2-19.4%
  • 0-08.6%
  • 0-17.3%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Napoli1.20 / 0.80WLWWL Roma1.00 / 0.90LLLWL

Why this prediction

  • Napoli attack index 1.20 meets Roma defence index 0.90 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.61 expected goals.
  • Roma attack index 1.00 meets Napoli defence index 0.80: 0.85 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Napoli.
  • Form over the last five: Napoli 9 points, Roma 3 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.