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Championship · Tue 27 Oct · 20:00 UTC

Norwich City v Burnley

Final prediction

Norwich City win

39% confidence · likely score 1-1

39%

Norwich City

27%

Draw

34%

Burnley

Kicks off at 20:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
45% · Under
Both teams to score
50% · No
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.17

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-112.9%
  • 1-011.0%
  • 0-110.0%
  • 0-08.6%
  • 2-18.3%
  • 1-27.5%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Norwich City1.05 / 1.08WDWDW Burnley0.95 / 0.80DDWDD

Why this prediction

  • Norwich City attack index 1.05 meets Burnley defence index 0.80 (higher means more goals conceded): 1.29 expected goals.
  • Burnley attack index 0.95 meets Norwich City defence index 1.08: 1.17 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Norwich City.
  • Form over the last five: Norwich City 11 points, Burnley 7 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 45% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.