PitchLedger
← Back to Tue 27 Oct

Primeira Liga · Tue 27 Oct · 15:00 UTC

Famalicão v Sporting CP

Final prediction

Sporting CP win

58% confidence · likely score 0-1

19%

Famalicão

23%

Draw

58%

Sporting CP

Kicks off at 15:00 UTC. The result will be graded in the record.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals
52% · Over
Both teams to score
51% · Yes
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.82

Most likely scorelines

  • 0-111.5%
  • 1-110.8%
  • 0-210.5%
  • 1-29.9%
  • 0-36.3%
  • 0-06.3%

Team profile

TeamAtk / DefLast 5 Famalicão0.92 / 1.02WWLDD Sporting CP1.42 / 0.70WWWDW

Why this prediction

  • Famalicão attack index 0.92 meets Sporting CP defence index 0.70 (higher means more goals conceded): 0.94 expected goals.
  • Sporting CP attack index 1.42 meets Famalicão defence index 1.02: 1.82 expected goals, after a home-advantage edge for Famalicão.
  • Form over the last five: Famalicão 8 points, Sporting CP 13 points, applied as a small adjustment to each side's goal rate.
  • The simulation gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.